Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.234330 0.265507 0.298752 0.336784 0.379027 0.424446 0.476912
2025-09-14 0.190296 0.231745 0.278731 0.335727 0.402772 0.478900 0.571644
2025-09-21 0.159516 0.206842 0.263393 0.335498 0.424494 0.530211 0.664711
2025-09-28 0.136578 0.187380 0.251009 0.335782 0.444887 0.579618 0.757486
2025-10-05 0.120555 0.174049 0.243936 0.340750 0.470016 0.635119 0.860127
2025-10-12 0.109147 0.165064 0.240956 0.349825 0.499999 0.697577 0.974419
2025-10-19 0.097891 0.154714 0.234665 0.353164 0.521641 0.749426 1.076789
2025-10-26 0.089543 0.147422 0.231610 0.360171 0.548032 0.808337 1.191017
2025-11-02 0.083390 0.142604 0.231417 0.370805 0.579632 0.875481 1.319372
2025-11-09 0.075019 0.133340 0.223572 0.369139 0.592715 0.916508 1.412189
2025-11-16 0.067868 0.125201 0.216584 0.367914 0.605873 0.957688 1.506476
2025-11-23 0.061524 0.117680 0.209800 0.366236 0.617807 0.997112 1.599370
2025-11-30 0.057278 0.113510 0.208380 0.373454 0.644711 1.061445 1.734403
2025-12-07 0.052189 0.107282 0.202950 0.373603 0.660240 1.109024 1.846145
2025-12-14 0.047707 0.101654 0.198001 0.374054 0.676064 1.157572 1.961344
2025-12-21 0.043745 0.096545 0.193465 0.374742 0.692094 1.206925 2.079688
2025-12-28 0.040893 0.093272 0.191907 0.380420 0.716672 1.270921 2.223842
2026-01-04 0.038882 0.091459 0.192846 0.390531 0.749268 1.349273 2.394223
2026-01-11 0.036250 0.088053 0.190450 0.394272 0.770756 1.409931 2.537820
2026-01-18 0.034311 0.085902 0.190262 0.402026 0.799650 1.484086 2.706514
2026-01-25 0.032949 0.084857 0.192144 0.413760 0.836226 1.572695 2.902680
2026-02-01 0.030308 0.080630 0.187231 0.411934 0.847684 1.618234 3.027167
2026-02-08 0.027955 0.076787 0.182758 0.410590 0.859814 1.665233 3.155664